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2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections: Starting Pitcher

RotoSummit's 2012 projections are based on advanced statistics, expected growth or regression, past performances, injury history and risk, and playing time potential. I attempt to create the most logical, realistic, and objective projections that I can, projecting what I would consider to be the average outcome for each player if the season was played out an infinite number of times. Though I did account for injury risk, I did not downgrade each player's playing time averages based on the minuscule chance that they miss the whole season (even though this would happen during infinite simulations of the season).

Here are my 2012 projections for the top 183 fantasy baseball starting pitchers. If you feel that I left someone out that may be useful in your league, feel free to make suggestions and I will make adjustments.

Roy Halladay - Phi                
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 phillies pn 2011 Totals 233.2 220 19 0 2.35 1.04
2012 Projected 238.0 217 20 0 2.52 1.04

 

Justin Verlander - Det          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 tigers pn 2011 Totals 251.0 250 24 0 2.40 0.92
2012 Projected 242.0 237 20 0 2.89 1.07

 

Clayton Kershaw - LAD        
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 dodgers pn 2011 Totals 233.1 248 21 0 2.28 0.98
2012 Projected 224.0 236 18 0 2.66 1.06

 

Cliff Lee - Phi                        
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 phillies pn 2011 Totals 232.2 238 17 0 2.40 1.03
2012 Projected 227 213 18 0 2.79 1.03

 

C.C. Sabathia - NYY              
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 yankees pn 2011 Totals 237.1 230 19 0 3.00 1.23
2012 Projected 235.0 209 19 0 3.05 1.18

 

Dan Haren - LAA                   
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 angels pn 2011 Totals 238.1 192 16 0 3.17 1.02
2012 Projected 232.0 201 16 0 3.22 1.08

 

Cole Hamels - Phi                 
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 phillies pn 2011 Totals 216.0 194 14 0 2.79 0.99
2012 Projected 213.0 198 15 0 3.04 1.08

 

Felix Hernandez - Sea          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 mariners pn 2011 Totals 233.2 222 14 0 3.47 1.22
2012 Projected 236.0 221 14 0 2.89 1.14

 

Tim Lincecum - SF               
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 giants pn 2011 Totals 217.0 220 13 0 2.74 1.21
2012 Projected 217.0 229 15 0 3.08 1.20

 

David Price - TB                   
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rays pn 2011 Totals 224.1 218 12 0 3.49 1.14
2012 Projected 222.0 209 15 0 3.30 1.15

 

Jered Weaver - LAA             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 angels pn 2011 Totals 235.2 198 18 0 2.41 1.01
2012 Projected 229.0 204 16 0 3.15 1.12

 

Zack Greinke - Mil                
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 brewers pn 2011 Totals 171.2 201 16 0 3.83 1.20
2012 Projected 210.0 214 16 0 3.12 1.19

 

Matt Cain - SF                       
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 giants pn 2011 Totals 221.2 179 12 0 2.88 1.08
2012 Projected 222.0 178 14 0 2.98 1.10

 

Stephen Strasburg - Was     
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 nationals pn 2011 Totals 24.0 24 1 0 1.50 0.71
2012 Projected 171.0 196 13 0 2.78 1.09

 

James Shields - TB               
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rays pn 2011 Totals 249.1 225 16 0 2.82 1.04
2012 Projected 229.0 214 15 0 3.43 1.17

 

Ian Kennedy - Ari                 
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 diamondbacks pn 2011 Totals 222.0 198 21 0 2.88 1.09
2012 Projected 215.0 191 17 0 3.36 1.13

 

Jon Lester - Bos                    
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
red sox pn  2011 Totals 191.2 182 15 0 3.47 1.26
2012 Projected 204.0 202 17 0 3.49 1.24

 

Mat Latos - Cin                      
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 reds pn 2011 Totals 194.1 185 9 0 3.47 1.18
2012 Projected 203.0 198 15 0 3.46 1.16

 

C.J. Wilson - LAA                   
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 angels pn 2011 Totals 223.1 206 16 0 2.94 1.19
2012 Projected 216.0 193 16 0 3.24 1.21

 

Tommy Hanson - Atl             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 braves pn 2011 Totals 130.0 142 11 0 3.60 1.17
2012 Projected 188.0 184 14 0 3.30 1.15

 

Yovani Gallardo - Mil            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 brewers pn 2011 Totals 207.2 207 17 0 3.52 1.22
2012 Projected 199.0 206 15 0 3.51 1.24

 

Michael Pineda - NYY           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 yankees pn 2011 Totals 171.0 173 9 0 3.74 1.10
2012 Projected 193.0 191 16 0 3.85 1.18

 

Madison Bumgarner - SF     
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 giants pn 2011 Totals 204.2 191 13 0 3.21 1.21
2012 Projected 208.0 187 14 0 3.25 1.22

 

Yu Darvish - Tex                  
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rangers pn 2011 Totals 0.0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00
2012 Projected 211.0 195 15 0 3.54 1.22

 

Josh Beckett - Bos               
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
red sox pn  2011 Totals 193.0 175 13 0 2.89 1.03
2012 Projected 184.0 170 14 0 3.51 1.17

 

Josh Johnson - Mia              
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
marlins pn  2011 Totals 60.1 56 3 0 1.64 0.98
2012 Projected 166.0 157 12 0 2.76 1.11

 

Daniel Hudson - Ari             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 diamondbacks pn 2011 Totals 222.0 169 16 0 3.49 1.20
2012 Projected 209.0 176 16 0 3.52 1.18

 

Chris Carpenter - StL          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 cardinals pn 2011 Totals 237.1 191 11 0 3.45 1.26
2012 Projected 226.0 176 15 0 3.32 1.22

 

Adam Wainwright - StL      
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 cardinals pn 2011 Totals 0.0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00
2012 Projected 198.0 178 15 0 3.39 1.22

 

Matt Garza - ChC                 
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 cubs pn 2011 Totals 198.0 197 10 0 3.32 1.26
2012 Projected 203.0 191 13 0 3.26 1.21

 

Matt Moore - TB                  
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rays pn 2011 Totals 9.1 15 1 0 2.89 1.29
2012 Projected 175.0 179 13 0 3.43 1.20

 

Jordan Zimmermann - Was
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 nationals pn 2011 Totals 161.1 124 8 0 3.18 1.15
2012 Projected 187.0 157 14 0 3.36 1.17

 

Ricky Romero - Tor             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 blue jays pn 2012 2011 Totals 225.0 178 15 0 2.92 1.14
2012 Projected 217.0 179 15 0 3.54 1.24

 

Gio Gonzalez - Was             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 nationals pn 2011 Totals 202.0 197 16 0 3.12 1.32
2012 Projected 206.0 195 15 0 3.48 1.31

 

Tim Hudson - Atl                 
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 braves pn 2011 Totals 215.0 158 16 0 3.22 1.14
2012 Projected 219.0 149 16 0 3.41 1.19

 

Anibal Sanchez - Mia          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
marlins pn  2011 Totals 196.1 202 8 0 3.67 1.28
2012 Projected 194.0 187 14 0 3.53 1.26

 

Brandon Beachy - Atl          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 braves pn 2011 Totals 141.2 169 7 0 3.68 1.21
2012 Projected 171.0 182 12 0 3.50 1.24

 

Shaun Marcum - Mil            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 brewers pn 2011 Totals 200.2 158 13 0 3.54 1.16
2012 Projected 197.0 161 13 0 3.46 1.18

 

Hiroki Kuroda - NYY            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 yankees pn 2011 Totals 202.0 161 13 0 3.07 1.21
2012 Projected 201.0 153 16 0 3.88 1.23

 

Ubaldo Jimenez - Cle           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 indians pn 2011 Totals 188.1 180 10 0 4.68 1.40
2012 Projected 203.0 193 14 0 3.70 1.28

 

Doug Fister - Det                 
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 tigers pn 2011 Totals 216.1 146 11 0 2.83 1.06
2012 Projected 213.0 136 14 0 3.40 1.12

 

Cory Luebke - SD                 
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 padres pn 2011 Totals 139.2 154 6 0 3.29 1.07
2012 Projected 181.0 170 11 0 3.41 1.16

 

Johnny Cueto - Cin              
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 reds pn 2011 Totals 156.0 104 9 0 2.31 1.09
2012 Projected 183.0 138 13 0 3.37 1.19

 

Ted Lilly - LAD                     
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 dodgers pn 2011 Totals 192.2 158 12 0 3.97 1.16
2012 Projected 193.0 165 13 0 3.77 1.15

 

Ervin Santana - LAA            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 angels pn 2011 Totals 228.2 178 11 0 3.38 1.22
2012 Projected 221.0 172 14 0 3.67 1.28

 

Max Scherzer - Det              
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 tigers pn 2011 Totals 195.0 174 15 0 4.43 1.35
2012 Projected 197.0 182 14 0 3.74 1.30

 

Colby Lewis - Tex                
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rangers pn 2011 Totals 200.1 169 14 0 4.40 1.21
2012 Projected 202.0 179 14 0 4.12 1.21

 

Jaime Garcia - StL               
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 cardinals pn 2011 Totals 194.0 156 13 0 3.56 1.32
2012 Projected 196.0 158 14 0 3.41 1.29

 

Neftali Feliz - Tex                
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rangers pn 2011 Totals 62.1 54 2 32 2.74 1.16
2012 Projected 162.0 144 12 0 3.61 1.22

 

Wandy Rodriguez - Hou      
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 astros pn 2011 Totals 191.0 166 11 0 3.49 1.31
2012 Projected 198.0 177 12 0 3.52 1.30

 

Roy Oswalt - FA                  
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 phillies pn 2011 Totals 139.0 93 9 0 3.69 1.34
2012 Projected 183.0 146 14 0 3.50 1.26

 

Chris Sale - CWS                
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 white sox pn 2011 Totals 71.0 79 2 8 2.79 1.11
2012 Projected 160.0 152 11 0 3.58 1.22

 

Jhoulys Chacin - Col           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rockies pn 2011 Totals 194.0 150 11 0 3.62 1.31
2012 Projected 201.0 170 13 0 3.68 1.30

 

Jeremy Hellickson - TB      
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rays pn 2011 Totals 189.0 117 13 0 2.95 1.15
2012 Projected 203.0 169 14 0 3.81 1.23

 

Scott Baker - Min               
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 twins pn 2011 Totals 134.2 123 8 0 3.14 1.17
2012 Projected 176.0 153 12 0 3.72 1.23

 

Justin Masterson - Cle       
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 indians pn 2011 Totals 216.0 158 12 0 3.21 1.28
2012 Projected 207.0 160 13 0 3.72 1.33

 

Derek Holland - Tex           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rangers pn 2011 Totals 198.0 162 16 0 3.95 1.35
2012 Projected 205.0 174 14 0 3.78 1.34

 

John Danks - CWS             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 white sox pn 2011 Totals 170.1 135 8 0 4.33 1.34
2012 Projected 201.0 157 13 0 3.83 1.29

 

Vance Worley - Phi            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 phillies pn 2011 Totals 131.2 119 11 0 3.01 1.23
2012 Projected 184.0 156 13 0 3.60 1.29

 

Ryan Vogelsong - SF         
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 giants pn 2011 Totals 179.2 139 13 0 2.71 1.25
2012 Projected 196.0 152 13 0 3.63 1.28

 

Brandon Morrow - Tor      
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 blue jays pn 2012 2011 Totals 179.1 203 11 0 4.72 1.29
2012 Projected 183.0 200 11 0 4.08 1.31

 

Edwin Jackson - FA           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 cardinals pn 2011 Totals 199.2 148 12 0 3.79 1.44
2012 Projected 206.0 162 13 0 3.85 1.41

 

Ryan Dempster - ChC       
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 cubs pn 2011 Totals 202.1 191 10 0 4.80 1.45
2012 Projected 205.0 189 12 0 4.13 1.37

 

Clay Buchholz - Bos          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
red sox pn  2011 Totals 82.2 60 6 0 3.48 1.29
2012 Projected 179.0 128 14 0 3.75 1.32

 

Jair Jurrjens - Atl              
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 braves pn 2011 Totals 152.0 90 13 0 2.96 1.22
2012 Projected 179.0 123 12 0 3.76 1.25

 

Chad Billingsley - LAD       
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 dodgers pn 2011 Totals 188.0 152 11 0 4.21 1.45
2012 Projected 195.0 170 12 0 3.82 1.37

 

Drew Pomeranz - Col        
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rockies pn 2011 Totals 18.1 13 2 0 5.40 1.31
2012 Projected 176.0 150 12 0 3.89 1.35

 

Ricky Nolasco - Mia           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
marlins pn  2011 Totals 206.0 148 10 0 4.67 1.40
2012 Projected 195.0 171 12 0 4.31 1.33

 

Gavin Floyd - CWS             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 white sox pn 2011 Totals 193.2 151 12 0 4.37 1.16
2012 Projected 195.0 154 12 0 4.01 1.26

 

Jonathan Sanchez - KC     
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 royals pn 2011 Totals 101.1 102 4 0 4.26 1.44
2012 Projected 174.0 179 11 0 4.12 1.36

 

Tim Stauffer - SD              
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 padres pn 2011 Totals 185.2 128 9 0 3.73 1.25
2012 Projected 190.0 134 12 0 3.66 1.25

 

R.A. Dickey - NYM             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 mets pn 2011 Totals 208.2 134 8 0 3.28 1.23
2012 Projected 202.0 126 11 0 3.55 1.25

 

Brandon McCarthy - Oak  
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 athletics pn 2011 Totals 170.2 123 9 0 3.32 1.13
2012 Projected 155.0 109 8 0 3.49 1.18

 

Trevor Cahill - Ari             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 diamondbacks pn 2011 Totals 207.2 147 12 0 4.16 1.43
2012 Projected 205.0 141 14 0 3.97 1.35

 

Johan Santana - NYM       
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 mets pn 2011 Totals 0.0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00
2012 Projected 146.0 113 10 0 3.84 1.22

 

Mark Buehrle - Mia           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
marlins pn  2011 Totals 205.1 109 13 0 3.59 1.30
2012 Projected 209.0 112 13 0 3.62 1.30

 

Mike Leake - Cin               
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 reds pn 2011 Totals 167.1 118 12 0 3.86 1.17
2012 Projected 183.0 132 12 0 4.09 1.26

 

Bud Norris - Hou               
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 astros pn 2011 Totals 186.0 176 6 0 3.77 1.33
2012 Projected 193.0 189 10 0 3.97 1.38

 

Henderson Alvarez - Tor   
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 blue jays pn 2012 2011 Totals 63.2 40 1 0 3.53 1.13
2012 Projected 175.0 113 11 0 3.91 1.25

 

Jeff Niemann - TB              
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rays pn 2011 Totals 135.1 105 11 0 4.06 1.24
2012 Projected 173.0 133 12 0 4.01 1.28

 

Francisco Liriano - Min      
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 twins pn 2011 Totals 134.1 112 9 0 5.09 1.49
2012 Projected 168.0 155 10 0 4.19 1.38

 

Erik Bedard - Pit                
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 pirates pn 2011 Totals  129.1 125 5 0 3.62 1.28
2012 Projected 132.0 126 8 0 3.51 1.29


Ivan Nova - NYY                
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 yankees pn 2011 Totals 165.1 98 16 0 3.70 1.33
2012 Projected 188.0 115 14 0 4.23 1.37

 

Jake Peavy - CWS            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 white sox pn 2011 Totals 111.2 95 7 0 4.92 1.26
2012 Projected 110.0 97 7 0 3.76 1.22

 

Randy Wolf - Mil                
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 brewers pn 2011 Totals 212.1 134 13 0 3.69 1.32
2012 Projected 214.0 140 13 0 4.01 1.34

 

Brett Myers - Hou              
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 astros pn 2011 Totals 216.0 160 7 0 4.46 1.31
2012 Projected 215.0 168 10 0 4.12 1.32

 

Matt Harrison - Tex           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rangers pn 2011 Totals 185.2 126 14 0 3.39 1.28
2012 Projected 192.0 124 13 0 4.07 1.37

 

Homer Bailey - Cin            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 reds pn 2011 Totals 132.0 106 9 0 4.43 1.28
2012 Projected 162.0 130 10 0 4.22 1.31

 

Edit 2/9/12: Guthrie traded to Rockies

Jeremy Guthrie - Col         
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rockies pn 2011 Totals 208.0 130 9 0 4.33 1.34
2012 Projected 208.0 137 13 0 4.13 1.29

 

Zach Britton - Bal              
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 orioles pn 2011 Totals 154.1 97 11 0 4.61 1.45
2012 Projected 186.0 124 11 0 4.12 1.39

 

Bronson Arroyo - Cin         
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 reds pn 2011 Totals 199.0 108 9 0 5.07 1.37
2012 Projected 206.0 118 12 0 4.31 1.28

 

Chris Capuano - LAD          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 dodgers pn 2011 Totals 186.0 168 11 0 4.55 1.35
2012 Projected 189.0 162 11 0 4.24 1.35

 

Jason Vargas - Sea            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 mariners pn 2011 Totals 201.0 131 10 0 4.25 1.31
2012 Projected 198.0 125 10 0 4.10 1.29

 

Daniel Bard - Bos              
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
red sox pn  2011 Totals 73.0 74 2 1 3.33 0.96
2012 Projected 126.0 114 7 0 3.86 1.26

 

Mike Minor - Atl                
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 braves pn 2011 Totals 82.2 77 5 0 4.14 1.49
2012 Projected 135.0 126 9 0 3.85 1.35

 

Carlos Zambrano - Mia     
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
marlins pn  2011 Totals 145.2 101 9 0 4.82 1.44
2012 Projected 170.0 140 10 0 4.03 1.41

 

Josh Collmenter - Ari       
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 diamondbacks pn 2011 Totals 154.1 100 10 0 3.38 1.07
2012 Projected 175.0 123 10 0 4.37 1.27

 

Travis Wood - ChC           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 cubs pn 2011 Totals 106.0 76 6 0 4.84 1.49
2012 Projected 169.0 128 10 0 4.23 1.33

 

Jonathon Niese - NYM     
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 mets pn 2011 Totals 157.1 138 11 0 4.40 1.41
2012 Projected 171.0 148 10 0 4.10 1.40

 

A.J. Burnett - NYY            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 yankees pn 2011 Totals 190.1 173 11 0 5.15 1.43
2012 Projected 180.0 165 11 0 4.34 1.40

 

Aroldis Chapman - Cin     
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 reds pn 2011 Totals 50.0 71 4 1 3.60 1.30
2012 Projected 114.0 134 7 0 3.73 1.31

 

Josh Tomlin - Cle             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 indians pn 2011 Totals 165.1 89 12 0 4.25 1.08
2012 Projected 176.0 99 10 0 4.41 1.21

 

Carl Pavano - Min              
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 twins pn 2011 Totals 222.0 102 9 0 4.30 1.36
2012 Projected 216.0 115 11 0 4.18 1.33

 

Kyle Lohse - StL                
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 cardinals pn 2011 Totals 188.1 111 14 0 3.39 1.17
2012 Projected 181.0 112 11 0 4.24 1.32

 

Phil Humber - CWS           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 white sox pn 2011 Totals 163.0 116 9 0 3.75 1.18
2012 Projected 157.0 112 9 0 4.14 1.28

 

Joe Blanton - Phi               
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 phillies pn 2011 Totals 41.1 35 1 0 5.01 1.48
2012 Projected 163.0 125 10 0 4.10 1.35

 

Dallas Braden - Oak         
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 athletics pn 2011 Totals 18.0 15 1 0 3.00 1.28
2012 Projected 136.0 87 8 0 3.84 1.25

 

Juan Nicasio - Col              
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rockies pn 2011 Totals 71.2 58 4 0 4.14 1.27
2012 Projected 131.0 108 8 0 3.91 1.29

 

Bartolo Colon - Oak           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 athletics pn 2011 Totals 164.1 135 8 0 4.00 1.29
2012 Projected 143.0 109 9 0 3.85 1.33

 

Alexi Ogando - Tex            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rangers pn 2011 Totals 169.0 126 13 0 3.51 1.14
2012 Projected 97.0 87 7 0 3.63 1.22

 

Chris Narveson - Mil          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 brewers pn 2011 Totals 161.2 126 11 0 4.45 1.39
2012 Projected 171.0 139 10 0 4.32 1.37

 

Aaron Harang - LAD          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 dodgers pn 2011 Totals 170.2 124 14 0 3.64 1.37
2012 Projected 177.0 133 11 0 4.28 1.39

 

Jeff Karstens - Pit             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 pirates pn 2011 Totals 162.1 96 9 0 3.38 1.21
2012 Projected 172.0 101 9 0 4.19 1.28

 

James McDonald - Pit        
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 pirates pn 2011 Totals 171.0 142 9 0 4.21 1.49
2012 Projected 184.0 158 10 0 4.23 1.44

 

Derek Lowe - Cle               
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 indians pn 2011 Totals 187.0 137 9 0 5.05 1.51
2012 Projected 192.0 131 11 0 4.21 1.41

 

Phil Hughes - NYY           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 yankees pn 2011 Totals 74.2 47 5 0 5.79 1.49
2012 Projected 118.0 99 8 0 4.06 1.28

 

Joe Saunders - Ari            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 diamondbacks pn 2011 Totals 212.0 108 12 0 3.69 1.31
2012 Projected 206.0 114 11 0 4.40 1.35

 

Rick Porcello - Det            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 tigers pn 2011 Totals 182.0 104 14 0 4.75 1.41
2012 Projected 194.0 110 11 0 4.47 1.36

 

Luke Hochevar - KC          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 royals pn 2011 Totals 198.0 128 11 0 4.68 1.28
2012 Projected 181.0 128 10 0 4.48 1.35

 

Bruce Chen - KC                
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 royals pn 2011 Totals 155.0 97 12 0 3.77 1.30
2012 Projected 152.0 101 9 0 4.32 1.32

 

Jacob Turner - Det           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 tigers pn 2011 Totals 12.2 8 0 0 8.53 1.66
2012 Projected 142.0 104 9 0 4.19 1.35

 

Paul Maholm - ChC           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 cubs pn 2011 Totals 162.1 97 6 0 3.66 1.29
2012 Projected 187.0 114 9 0 4.15 1.38

 

Dillon Gee - NYM              
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 mets pn 2011 Totals 160.2 114 13 0 4.43 1.38
2012 Projected 175.0 123 10 0 4.47 1.39

 

Jarrod Parker - Oak          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 athletics pn 2011 Totals 5.2 1 0 0 0.00 0.88
2012 Projected 143.0 108 8 0 4.23 1.34

 

Felipe Paulino - KC           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 royals pn 2011 Totals 139.1 133 4 0 4.46 1.44
2012 Projected 165.0 155 8 0 4.29 1.45

 

Barry Zito - SF                  
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 giants pn 2011 Totals 53.2 32 3 0 5.87 1.40
2012 Projected 156.0 112 8 0 4.41 1.35

 

Julio Teheran - Atl         
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 braves pn 2011 Totals 19.2 10 1 0 5.03 1.47
2012 Projected 92.0 74 6 0 3.88 1.29

 

Brad Peacock - Oak          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 athletics pn 2011 Totals 12.0 4 2 0 0.75 1.08
2012 Projected 138.0 106 7 0 4.39 1.31

 

John Lannan - Was           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 nationals pn 2011 Totals 184.2 106 10 0 3.70 1.46
2012 Projected 185.0 101 10 0 4.18 1.43

 

Chris Volstad - ChC          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 cubs pn 2011 Totals 165.2 117 5 0 4.89 1.42
2012 Projected 168.0 112 8 0 4.31 1.40

 

Edinson Volquez - SD       
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 padres pn 2011 Totals 108.2 104 5 0 5.71 1.57
2012 Projected 146.0 144 7 0 4.29 1.45

 

Wade Davis - TB                
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rays pn 2011 Totals 184.0 105 11 0 4.45 1.38
2012 Projected 146.0 92 9 0 4.41 1.37

 

Jake Westbrook - StL        
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 cardinals pn 2011 Totals 183.1 104 12 0 4.66 1.53
2012 Projected 177.0 102 10 0 4.28 1.44

 

Hisashi Iwakuma - Sea   
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 mariners pn 2011 Totals 0.0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00
2012 Projected 145.0 95 7 0 4.30 1.35

 

Guillermo Moscoso - Col   
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rockies pn 2011 Totals 128.0 74 8 0 3.38 1.09
2012 Projected 156.0 108 8 0 4.62 1.38

 

Kevin Correia - Pit             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 pirates pn 2011 Totals 154.0 77 12 0 4.79 1.39
2012 Projected 166.0 107 9 0 4.69 1.39

 

Randy Wells - ChC           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 cubs pn 2011 Totals 135.1 82 7 0 4.99 1.39
2012 Projected 146.0 95 7 0 4.29 1.37

 

Edit 2/9/12: Hammel traded to Orioles

Jason Hammel - Bal          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 orioles pn 2011 Totals 170.1 94 7 1 4.76 1.43
2012 Projected 171.0 117 8 0 4.97 1.45


Brett Cecil - Tor                
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 blue jays pn 2012 2011 Totals 123.2 87 4 0 4.73 1.33
2012 Projected 155.0 109 8 0 4.67 1.38

 

Danny Hultzen - Sea      
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 mariners pn 2011 Totals 0.0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00
2012 Projected 92.0 75 5 0 4.15 1.30

 

Charlie Morton - Pit           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 pirates pn 2011 Totals 171.2 110 10 0 3.83 1.53
2012 Projected 178.0 117 10 0 4.38 1.50

 

Tom Milone - Oak             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 athletics pn 2011 Totals 26.0 15 1 0 3.81 1.23
2012 Projected 128.0 83 6 0 4.50 1.30

 

Mike Pelfrey - NYM            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 mets pn 2011 Totals 193.2 105 7 0 4.74 1.47
2012 Projected 195.0 108 10 0 4.50 1.47

 

Clayton Richard - SD        
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 padres pn 2011 Totals 99.2 53 5 0 3.88 1.42
2012 Projected 134.0 85 7 0 4.00 1.41

 

Trevor Bauer - Ari           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 diamondbacks pn 2011 Totals 0.0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00
2012 Projected 84.0 77 5 0 4.06 1.33

 

Shelby Miller - StL           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 cardinals pn 2011 Totals 0.0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00
2012 Projected 74.0 70 5 0 3.85 1.35

 

Chien-Ming Wang - Was   
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 nationals pn 2011 Totals 62.1 25 4 0 4.04 1.28
2012 Projected 134.0 61 7 0 4.19 1.34

 

Kevin Millwood - Sea        
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 mariners pn 2011 Totals 54.1 36 4 0 3.98 1.21
2012 Projected 122.0 84 6 0 4.08 1.39

 

Freddy Garcia - NYY          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 yankees pn 2011 Totals 146.2 96 12 0 3.62 1.34
2012 Projected 104.0 66 7 0 4.23 1.36

 

Kevin Slowey - Cle            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 indians pn 2011 Totals 59.1 34 0 0 6.67 1.40
2012 Projected 117.0 82 6 0 4.52 1.32

 

Edit 2/3/12: Hernandez signs with Houston

Livan Hernandez - Hou     
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 astros pn 2011 Totals 175.1 99 8 0 4.47 1.40
2012 Projected 159.0 84 8 0 4.22 1.42

 

Jorge de la Rosa - Col     
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rockies pn 2011 Totals 59.0 52 5 0 3.51 1.19
2012 Projected 91.0 79 5 0 4.03 1.38

 

Jerome Williams - LAA     
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 angels pn 2011 Totals 44.0 28 4 0 3.68 1.36
2012 Projected 126.0 80 7 0 4.53 1.37

 

Aaron Crow - KC                
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 royals pn 2011 Totals 62.0 65 4 0 2.76 1.39
2012 Projected 126.0 105 6 0 4.22 1.45

 

J.A. Happ - Hou                  
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 astros pn 2011 Totals 156.1 134 6 0 5.35 1.54
2012 Projected 132.0 106 6 0 4.27 1.45

 

Dustin Moseley - SD           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 padres pn 2011 Totals 120.0 64 3 0 3.30 1.28
2012 Projected 143.0 106 6 0 4.27 1.45

 

Jason Marquis - Min          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 twins pn 2011 Totals 132.0 76 8 0 4.43 1.49
2012 Projected 175.0 97 10 0 4.64 1.50

 

Tsuyoshi Wada - Bal         
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 orioles pn 2011 Totals 0.0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00
2012 Projected 133.0 89 6 0 4.78 1.36

 

Brett Anderson - Oak      
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 athletics pn 2011 Totals 83.1 61 3 0 4.00 1.33
2012 Projected 55.0 43 4 0 4.03 1.32

 

Dustin McGowan - Tor     
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 blue jays pn 2012 2011 Totals 21.0 20 0 0 6.43 1.57
2012 Projected 113.0 96 6 0 4.52 1.44

 

Jake Arrieta - Bal               
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 orioles pn 2011 Totals 119.1 93 10 0 5.05 1.46
2012 Projected 139.0 103 7 0 4.69 1.47

 

Brian Matusz - Bal              
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 orioles pn 2011 Totals 49.2 38 1 0 10.69 2.11
2012 Projected 144.0 112 7 0 4.91 1.49

 

Nick Blackburn - Min       
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 twins pn 2011 Totals 148.1 76 7 0 4.49 1.60
2012 Projected 167.0 81 8 0 4.64 1.49

 

Nathan Eovaldi - LAD     
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 dodgers pn 2011 Totals 34.2 23 1 0 3.63 1.38
2012 Projected 94.0 63 5 0 4.50 1.42

 

Arodys Vizcaino - Atl      
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 braves pn 2011 Totals 17.1 17 1 0 4.67 1.44
2012 Projected 58.0 54 3 0 4.13 1.40

 

Wade Miley - Ari             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 diamondbacks pn 2011 Totals 40.0 25 4 0 4.50 1.65
2012 Projected 90.0 64 5 0 4.47 1.40

 

Alex White - Col               
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 rockies pn 2011 Totals 51.1 37 3 0 7.01 1.69
2012 Projected 129.0 83 6 0 4.62 1.45

 

Randall Delgado - Atl      
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 braves pn 2011 Totals 35.0 18 1 0 2.83 1.23
2012 Projected 79.0 62 4 0 4.35 1.39

 

Hector Noesi - Sea            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 mariners pn 2011 Totals 56.1 45 2 0 4.47 1.51
2012 Projected 123.0 92 6 0 4.89 1.46

 

Danny Duffy - KC               
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 royals pn 2011 Totals 105.1 87 4 0 5.64 1.61
2012 Projected 93.0 79 4 0 4.45 1.48

 

Rubby De La Rosa - LAD  
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 dodgers pn 2011 Totals 60.2 60 4 0 3.71 1.40
2012 Projected 47.0 44 2 0 4.06 1.43

 

Edit 2/3/12: Livan Hernandez signs with Houston

Jordan Lyles - Hou           
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 astros pn 2011 Totals 94.0 67 2 0 5.36 1.41
2012 Projected 92.0 63 4 0 4.83 1.44

 

Mike Montgomery - KC    
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 royals pn 2011 Totals 0.0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00
2012 Projected 62.0 47 3 0 4.40 1.44

 

Edit 2/3/12: Livan Hernandez signs with Houston

Kyle Weiland - Hou          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 astros pn 2011 Totals 24.2 13 0 0 7.66 1.66
2012 Projected 56.0 43 3 0 4.59 1.41

 

Zach Stewart - CWS          
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 white sox pn 2011 Totals 67.1 45 2 0 5.88 1.60
2012 Projected 100.0 70 5 0 4.54 1.54

 

Erik Surkamp - SF            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 giants pn 2011 Totals 26.2 13 2 0 5.74 1.84
2012 Projected 43.0 32 2 0 4.56 1.38

 

Wily Peralta - Mil             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 brewers pn 2011 Totals 0.0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00
2012 Projected 56.0 39 3 0 4.30 1.49

 

Carlos Carrasco - Cle        
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 indians pn 2011 Totals 124.2 85 8 0 4.62 1.36
2012 Projected 48.0 34 2 0 4.65 1.41

 

Daisuke Matsuzaka - Bos
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
red sox pn  2011 Totals 37.1 26 3 0 5.30 1.47
2012 Projected 69.0 56 4 0 4.91 1.48

 

Kyle Drabek - Tor            
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 blue jays pn 2012 2011 Totals 78.2 51 4 0 6.06 1.81
2012 Projected 94.0 63 4 0 4.96 1.54

 

Andrew Miller - Bos        
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
red sox pn  2011 Totals 65.0 50 6 0 5.54 1.82
2012 Projected 72.0 58 3 0 5.02 1.77

 

Edit 2/9/12: Harden expected to miss entire 2012 season

 

Rich Harden - FA             
Year IP K W SV ERA WHIP
 athletics pn 2011 Totals 82.1 91 4 0 5.12 1.43
2012 Projected 0.0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00

 

Follow Jesse on Twitter @JesseSakstrup

  • Bean Counter

    Posted at 2012-01-31 17:35:37

    Any particular reason the rankings aren't numbered? As I progress down through the longer lists it is difficult to determine where in the lists i am at without backtracking..... just askin.......

  • Jesse Sakstrup

    Posted at 2012-01-31 18:52:16

    @Bean Counter:
    These are just projections, they do closely reflect how my rankings will look, but when I update and expand my positional rankings within the next couple of weeks, I will definitely number them.

  • josh

    Posted at 2012-02-23 11:50:27

    Kudo's to you. I love your projections, and think they are among the best available for free online. Having said that I wobnder if you're going to put up projections for up and coming rookies like Tyler Skaggs in AZD. He threw almost 160 innings, with nearly 200K. He's talked about like he's nobody with bauer now in the fold, but how can you ignore his dominance!? He's IMHO the best AZ pitching prospect. What's your take on this, and what kind of numbers and in what role RP or SP do you see for him this season?

  • Jesse Sakstrup

    Posted at 2012-02-23 16:40:48

    @josh:
    Thanks, I appreciate you saying that.

    Skaggs, I like him too, but Trevor Bauer will probably be the first one of the two to be called up. I would estimate he gets called up some time just after the half way point, but his performance and the performances of Joe Saunders and Josh Collmenter could accelerate or decelerate that estimate. I would assume he is called up as a starter, but if Bauer and one of Collmenter/Saunders are pitching well, Skaggs may just be a September call-up to pitch in the bullpen.

    Anyways: Projection: 75 IP/ 65 Ks / 4 W / 4.17 ERA / 1.34 WHIP

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