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2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections: Third Base

RotoSummit's 2012 Projections are based on advanced statistics, expected growth or regression, past performances, injury history and risk, and playing time potential. I attempt to create the most logical, realistic, and objective projections that I can, projecting what I would consider to be the average outcome for each player if the season was played out an infinite number of times. Though I did account for injury risk, I did not downgrade each player's playing time averages based on the minuscule chance that they miss the whole season (even though this would happen during infinite simulations of the season).

Here are my 2012 projections for the top 48 fantasy baseball third basemen. If you feel that I left someone out that may be useful in your league, feel free to make suggestions and I will make adjustments.

Jose Bautista - Tor           
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 blue jays pn 2012 2011 Totals 655 105 43 103 9 .302
2012 Projected 664 108 44 109 9 .281

 

Evan Longoria - TB         
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 rays pn 2011 Totals 574 78 31 99 3 .244
2012 Projected 647 98 33 111 8 .276

 

Adrian Beltre - Tex         
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 rangers pn 2011 Totals 525 82 32 105 1 .296
2012 Projected 559 91 31 108 2 .293

 

David Wright - NYM       
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
mets pn 2011 Totals 447 60 14 61 13 .254
2012 Projected 615 86 24 88 20 .282

 

Ryan Zimmerman - Was
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 nationals pn 2011 Totals 440 52 12 49 3 .289
2012 Projected 592 82 23 83 4 .295

 

Michael Young - Tex      
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 rangers pn 2011 Totals 689 88 11 106 6 .338
2012 Projected 656 90 15 97 6 .315

 

Pablo Sandoval - SF      
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 giants pn 2011 Totals 466 55 23 70 2 .315
2012 Projected 602 73 25 91 3 .308

 

Brett Lawrie - Tor         
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 blue jays pn 2012 2011 Totals 171 26 9 25 7 .293
2012 Projected 574 78 19 81 18 .280

 

Aramis Ramirez - Mil    
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 brewers pn 2011 Totals 626 80 26 93 1 .306
2012 Projected 551 77 25 92 1 .286

 

Alex Rodriguez - NYY   
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 yankees pn 2011 Totals 428 67 16 62 4 .276
2012 Projected 518 79 22 92 4 .284

 

Kevin Youkilis - Bos      
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
red sox pn  2011 Totals 517 68 17 80 3 .258
2012 Projected 536 78 21 87 4 .282

 

Mark Reynolds - Bal      
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 orioles pn 2011 Totals 620 84 37 86 6 .221
2012 Projected 623 85 35 87 7 .229

 

Martin Prado - Atl         
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 braves pn 2011 Totals 590 66 13 57 4 .260
2012 Projected 605 83 15 65 4 .289

 

Emilio Bonifacio - Mia   
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
marlins pn  2011 Totals 641 78 5 36 40 .296
2012 Projected 532 72 3 31 33 .273

 

Ryan Roberts - Ari        
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 diamondbacks pn 2011 Totals 555 86 19 65 18 .249
2012 Projected 563 72 17 63 15 .252

 

Chase Headley - SD       
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 padres pn 2011 Totals 439 43 4 44 13 .289
2012 Projected 611 72 9 59 16 .271

 

Mike Moustakas - KC     
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 royals pn 2011 Totals 365 26 5 30 2 .263
2012 Projected 580 57 18 71 3 .265

 

David Freese - StL         
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 cardinals pn 2011 Totals 363 41 10 55 1 .297
2012 Projected 412 47 11 61 1 .299

 

Chipper Jones - Atl        
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 braves pn 2011 Totals 512 56 18 70 2 .275
2012 Projected 478 58 16 71 3 .273

 

Dayan Viciedo - CWS     
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 white sox pn 2011 Totals 113 11 1 6 1 .255
2012 Projected 447 58 17 65 3 .262

 

Daniel Murphy - NYM     
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
mets pn 2011 Totals 423 49 6 49 5 .320
2012 Projected 512 62 10 55 6 .285

 

Danny Valencia - Min     
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 twins pn 2011 Totals 608 63 15 72 2 .246
2012 Projected 566 61 14 72 2 .266

 

Edwin Encarnacion - Tor
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 blue jays pn 2012 2011 Totals 530 70 17 55 8 .272
2012 Projected 447 56 16 59 4 .267

 

Lonnie Chisenhall - Cle  
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 indians pn 2011 Totals 223 27 7 22 1 .255
2012 Projected 556 60 15 63 2 .261

 

Placido Polanco - Phi     
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 phillies pn 2011 Totals 519 46 5 50 3 .277
2012 Projected 554 65 6 52 4 .298

 

Alberto Callaspo - LAA   
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 angels pn 2011 Totals 536 54 6 46 8 .288
2012 Projected 529 55 8 49 6 .283

 

Scott Sizemore - Oak     
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 athletics pn 2011 Totals 429 50 11 56 5 .245
2012 Projected 521 65 12 67 5 .244

 

Pedro Alvarez - Pit         
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 pirates pn 2011 Totals 262 18 4 19 1 .191
2012 Projected 538 57 18 72 1 .233

 

Edit 1/23/12: Scutaro traded to Rockies

Mike Aviles - Bos            
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 red sox pn 2011 Totals 309 31 7 39 14 .255
2012 Projected 365 41 8 48 13 .273

 

Sean Rodriguez - TB      
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 rays pn 2011 Totals 436 45 8 36 11 .223
2012 Projected 474 59 13 48 13 .239

 

Mat Gamel - Mil              
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 brewers pn 2011 Totals 27 1 0 2 0 .115
2012 Projected 457 51 15 59 2 .254

 

Kyle Seager - Sea           
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 mariners pn 2011 Totals 201 22 3 13 3 .258
2012 Projected 435 49 7 47 8 .273

 

Edit 2/3/12: Betemit signs with Baltimore

Wilson Betemit - Bal      
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 orioles pn 2011 Totals 359 40 8 46 4 .285
2012 Projected 426 46 14 53 2 .262

 

Maicer Izturis - LAA       
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 angels pn 2011 Totals 494 51 5 38 9 .276
2012 Projected 427 50 5 38 10 .275

 

Brent Morel - CWS         
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 white sox pn 2011 Totals 444 44 10 41 5 .245
2012 Projected 488 52 12 49 6 .253

 

Jimmy Paredes - Hou    
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 astros pn 2011 Totals 179 16 2 18 5 .286
2012 Projected 434 50 6 38 17 .255

 

Scott Rolen - Cin            
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 reds pn 2011 Totals 269 31 5 36 1 .242
2012 Projected 431 46 10 53 2 .262

 

Ty Wigginton - Phi         
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 phillies pn 2011 Totals 446 52 15 47 8 .242
2012 Projected 390 44 13 49 3 .254

 

Casey McGehee - Pit      
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 pirates pn 2011 Totals 600 46 13 67 0 .223
2012 Projected 409 38 12 53 0 .258

 

Justin Turner - NYM       
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
mets pn 2011 Totals 487 49 4 51 7 .260
2012 Projected 367 43 5 43 4 .269

 

Ian Stewart - ChC          
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 cubs pn 2011 Totals 136 14 0 6 3 .156

2012 Projected

441 47 14 50 5 .231

 

Juan Uribe - LAD            
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 dodgers pn 2011 Totals 295 21 4 28 2 .204
2012 Projected 376 34 10 38 2 .244

 

Chris Johnson - Hou       
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 astros pn 2011 Totals 405 32 7 42 2 .251
2012 Projected 328 30 8 36 2 .264

 

Juan Francisco - Cin       
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 reds pn 2011 Totals 97 10 3 15 1 .258
2012 Projected 230 26 6 29 1 .260

 

Chone Figgins - Sea       
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 mariners pn 2011 Totals 313 24 1 15 11 .188
2012 Projected 285 28 1 16 14 .251

 

Brandon Inge - Det        
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 tigers pn 2011 Totals 303 29 3 23 1 .197
2012 Projected 388 36 8 42 2 .225

 

Casey Blake - Col           
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 rockies pn 2011 Totals 239 32 4 26 1 .252
2012 Projected 379 33 8 29 1 .249

 

Daniel Descalso - StL    
Year PA R HR RBI SB AVG
 cardinals pn 2011 Totals 375 35 1 28 2 .264
2012 Projected 330 29 2 25 2 .251

Follow Jesse on Twitter @JesseSakstrup

  • AATH_Baseball

    Posted at 2012-01-19 15:45:49

    Sandoval hit .315 in 2011.

    Great list. Third base is looking kind of deep this season.

  • Jesse Sakstrup

    Posted at 2012-01-19 16:05:27

    @AATH_Baseball:
    Thanks, and thanks, fixed.

    And yes, third base is looking somewhat deep, but there are few top players without significant question marks.

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