2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections: Third Base
RotoSummit's 2012 Projections are based on advanced statistics, expected growth or regression, past performances, injury history and risk, and playing time potential. I attempt to create the most logical, realistic, and objective projections that I can, projecting what I would consider to be the average outcome for each player if the season was played out an infinite number of times. Though I did account for injury risk, I did not downgrade each player's playing time averages based on the minuscule chance that they miss the whole season (even though this would happen during infinite simulations of the season).
Here are my 2012 projections for the top 48 fantasy baseball third basemen. If you feel that I left someone out that may be useful in your league, feel free to make suggestions and I will make adjustments.
| Jose Bautista - Tor |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 655 | 105 | 43 | 103 | 9 | .302 |
| 2012 Projected | 664 | 108 | 44 | 109 | 9 | .281 |
| Evan Longoria - TB |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 574 | 78 | 31 | 99 | 3 | .244 |
| 2012 Projected | 647 | 98 | 33 | 111 | 8 | .276 |
| Adrian Beltre - Tex |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 525 | 82 | 32 | 105 | 1 | .296 |
| 2012 Projected | 559 | 91 | 31 | 108 | 2 | .293 |
| David Wright - NYM |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| 2011 Totals | 447 | 60 | 14 | 61 | 13 | .254 | |
| 2012 Projected | 615 | 86 | 24 | 88 | 20 | .282 |
| Ryan Zimmerman - Was |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 440 | 52 | 12 | 49 | 3 | .289 |
| 2012 Projected | 592 | 82 | 23 | 83 | 4 | .295 |
| Michael Young - Tex |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 689 | 88 | 11 | 106 | 6 | .338 |
| 2012 Projected | 656 | 90 | 15 | 97 | 6 | .315 |
| Pablo Sandoval - SF |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 466 | 55 | 23 | 70 | 2 | .315 |
| 2012 Projected | 602 | 73 | 25 | 91 | 3 | .308 |
| Brett Lawrie - Tor |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 171 | 26 | 9 | 25 | 7 | .293 |
| 2012 Projected | 574 | 78 | 19 | 81 | 18 | .280 |
| Aramis Ramirez - Mil |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 626 | 80 | 26 | 93 | 1 | .306 |
| 2012 Projected | 551 | 77 | 25 | 92 | 1 | .286 |
| Alex Rodriguez - NYY |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 428 | 67 | 16 | 62 | 4 | .276 |
| 2012 Projected | 518 | 79 | 22 | 92 | 4 | .284 |
| Kevin Youkilis - Bos |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| 2011 Totals | 517 | 68 | 17 | 80 | 3 | .258 | |
| 2012 Projected | 536 | 78 | 21 | 87 | 4 | .282 |
| Mark Reynolds - Bal |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 620 | 84 | 37 | 86 | 6 | .221 |
| 2012 Projected | 623 | 85 | 35 | 87 | 7 | .229 |
| Martin Prado - Atl |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 590 | 66 | 13 | 57 | 4 | .260 |
| 2012 Projected | 605 | 83 | 15 | 65 | 4 | .289 |
| Emilio Bonifacio - Mia |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| 2011 Totals | 641 | 78 | 5 | 36 | 40 | .296 | |
| 2012 Projected | 532 | 72 | 3 | 31 | 33 | .273 |
| Ryan Roberts - Ari |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 555 | 86 | 19 | 65 | 18 | .249 |
| 2012 Projected | 563 | 72 | 17 | 63 | 15 | .252 |
| Chase Headley - SD |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 439 | 43 | 4 | 44 | 13 | .289 |
| 2012 Projected | 611 | 72 | 9 | 59 | 16 | .271 |
| Mike Moustakas - KC |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 365 | 26 | 5 | 30 | 2 | .263 |
| 2012 Projected | 580 | 57 | 18 | 71 | 3 | .265 |
| David Freese - StL |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 363 | 41 | 10 | 55 | 1 | .297 |
| 2012 Projected | 412 | 47 | 11 | 61 | 1 | .299 |
| Chipper Jones - Atl |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 512 | 56 | 18 | 70 | 2 | .275 |
| 2012 Projected | 478 | 58 | 16 | 71 | 3 | .273 |
| Dayan Viciedo - CWS |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 113 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 1 | .255 |
| 2012 Projected | 447 | 58 | 17 | 65 | 3 | .262 |
| Daniel Murphy - NYM |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| 2011 Totals | 423 | 49 | 6 | 49 | 5 | .320 | |
| 2012 Projected | 512 | 62 | 10 | 55 | 6 | .285 |
| Danny Valencia - Min |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 608 | 63 | 15 | 72 | 2 | .246 |
| 2012 Projected | 566 | 61 | 14 | 72 | 2 | .266 |
| Edwin Encarnacion - Tor |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 530 | 70 | 17 | 55 | 8 | .272 |
| 2012 Projected | 447 | 56 | 16 | 59 | 4 | .267 |
| Lonnie Chisenhall - Cle |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 223 | 27 | 7 | 22 | 1 | .255 |
| 2012 Projected | 556 | 60 | 15 | 63 | 2 | .261 |
| Placido Polanco - Phi |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 519 | 46 | 5 | 50 | 3 | .277 |
| 2012 Projected | 554 | 65 | 6 | 52 | 4 | .298 |
| Alberto Callaspo - LAA |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 536 | 54 | 6 | 46 | 8 | .288 |
| 2012 Projected | 529 | 55 | 8 | 49 | 6 | .283 |
| Scott Sizemore - Oak |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 429 | 50 | 11 | 56 | 5 | .245 |
| 2012 Projected | 521 | 65 | 12 | 67 | 5 | .244 |
| Pedro Alvarez - Pit |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 262 | 18 | 4 | 19 | 1 | .191 |
| 2012 Projected | 538 | 57 | 18 | 72 | 1 | .233 |
Edit 1/23/12: Scutaro traded to Rockies
| Mike Aviles - Bos |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 309 | 31 | 7 | 39 | 14 | .255 |
| 2012 Projected | 365 | 41 | 8 | 48 | 13 | .273 |
| Sean Rodriguez - TB |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 436 | 45 | 8 | 36 | 11 | .223 |
| 2012 Projected | 474 | 59 | 13 | 48 | 13 | .239 |
| Mat Gamel - Mil |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 27 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .115 |
| 2012 Projected | 457 | 51 | 15 | 59 | 2 | .254 |
| Kyle Seager - Sea |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 201 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 3 | .258 |
| 2012 Projected | 435 | 49 | 7 | 47 | 8 | .273 |
Edit 2/3/12: Betemit signs with Baltimore
| Wilson Betemit - Bal |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 359 | 40 | 8 | 46 | 4 | .285 |
| 2012 Projected | 426 | 46 | 14 | 53 | 2 | .262 |
| Maicer Izturis - LAA |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 494 | 51 | 5 | 38 | 9 | .276 |
| 2012 Projected | 427 | 50 | 5 | 38 | 10 | .275 |
| Brent Morel - CWS |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 444 | 44 | 10 | 41 | 5 | .245 |
| 2012 Projected | 488 | 52 | 12 | 49 | 6 | .253 |
| Jimmy Paredes - Hou |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 179 | 16 | 2 | 18 | 5 | .286 |
| 2012 Projected | 434 | 50 | 6 | 38 | 17 | .255 |
| Scott Rolen - Cin |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 269 | 31 | 5 | 36 | 1 | .242 |
| 2012 Projected | 431 | 46 | 10 | 53 | 2 | .262 |
| Ty Wigginton - Phi |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 446 | 52 | 15 | 47 | 8 | .242 |
| 2012 Projected | 390 | 44 | 13 | 49 | 3 | .254 |
| Casey McGehee - Pit |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 600 | 46 | 13 | 67 | 0 | .223 |
| 2012 Projected | 409 | 38 | 12 | 53 | 0 | .258 |
| Justin Turner - NYM |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| 2011 Totals | 487 | 49 | 4 | 51 | 7 | .260 | |
| 2012 Projected | 367 | 43 | 5 | 43 | 4 | .269 |
| Ian Stewart - ChC |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 136 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 3 | .156 |
|
2012 Projected |
441 | 47 | 14 | 50 | 5 | .231 |
| Juan Uribe - LAD |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 295 | 21 | 4 | 28 | 2 | .204 |
| 2012 Projected | 376 | 34 | 10 | 38 | 2 | .244 |
| Chris Johnson - Hou |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 405 | 32 | 7 | 42 | 2 | .251 |
| 2012 Projected | 328 | 30 | 8 | 36 | 2 | .264 |
| Juan Francisco - Cin |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 97 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 1 | .258 |
| 2012 Projected | 230 | 26 | 6 | 29 | 1 | .260 |
| Chone Figgins - Sea |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 313 | 24 | 1 | 15 | 11 | .188 |
| 2012 Projected | 285 | 28 | 1 | 16 | 14 | .251 |
| Brandon Inge - Det |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 303 | 29 | 3 | 23 | 1 | .197 |
| 2012 Projected | 388 | 36 | 8 | 42 | 2 | .225 |
| Casey Blake - Col |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 239 | 32 | 4 | 26 | 1 | .252 |
| 2012 Projected | 379 | 33 | 8 | 29 | 1 | .249 |
| Daniel Descalso - StL |
Year | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
| |
2011 Totals | 375 | 35 | 1 | 28 | 2 | .264 |
| 2012 Projected | 330 | 29 | 2 | 25 | 2 | .251 |
Follow Jesse on Twitter @JesseSakstrup

Jesse Sakstrup
Posted at 2012-01-19 16:05:27
@AATH_Baseball:
Thanks, and thanks, fixed.
And yes, third base is looking somewhat deep, but there are few top players without significant question marks.


AATH_Baseball
Posted at 2012-01-19 15:45:49
Sandoval hit .315 in 2011.
Great list. Third base is looking kind of deep this season.