Jesse Sakstrup

Posted at 2012-01-15 22:33:39

@Michael24:
For Montero, it definitely hurts his long term value, but the guaranteed extra at bats could increase his 2012 value.

For Pineda, I think it slightly hurts his value, but not much at all. Will hurt his ERA and WHIP, but the run support will increase his wins to ease the harm to his ratios. The one thing that I don't like about Pineda pitching in Yankee stadium is his high 45% fly ball rate, which could lead to problems in homer-friendly Yankee Stadium.

Jesse Sakstrup

Posted at 2012-01-17 15:57:02

@Michael24:
Yeah, I remember that league, lol...

Anyways, I think Montero may actually have eligibility at catcher to begin 2012 on Yahoo and CBS, but not ESPN. Other platforms than those, I have no idea.

I think that Seattle will give him a chance to catch, and he could easily get 10 games, especially in away games during interleague play. There is a fair chance he gets to 20 games to retain eligibility next year. When the team makes a statement about the situation, I will feel more comfortable with that.

Makes Montero possibly the toughest guy to rank due to him having different eligibility on different sites, and because he may gain eligibility at some point during the season (but when?)...

One thing I can say is that I would not bet on him retaining catcher eligibility long term.

Jesse Sakstrup

Posted at 2012-01-17 21:09:01

@Michael24:
Yeah, without getting too in depth with the contracts and extensions, I would suggest shopping Montero first as someone in your league will probably overvalue him or believe in his ability to stay at catcher. If you can't, then try to trade Pence, seeing as his contract runs out at the end of the year, you may have to trade him.

Just don't remind your league-mates that you have to trade him, or you will lose leverage in the deal.

Good luck.

Jesse Sakstrup

Posted at 2012-01-18 15:39:24

@KCWildMan:
Trading Posey depends on who you think you can get in the first round. Let me know who will you think will be available and I can make a better judgement.

Moustakas is a risk/reward play. I like Moustakas more in shallow leagues where you can replace him more easily if he fails again, but in deeper leagues, if Moustakas does not come through, it will be tough to find decent a replacement. I would take the safer production from Stubbs if you can.

Jesse Sakstrup

Posted at 2012-01-18 20:56:16

@Michael24:
Well, Brett Gardner is really good in OBP, but Montero could be close and should destroy Gardner in SLG, so the extra categories help Montero.

Deal depend on contract length and how much you want to go for this year. I like Gardner much more for this year, and probably for next year, but the longer you can keep a player, the more I begin to like Montero.

That said, you have an empty left field, so if you are playing for 2012, you will have to trade Montero. If that is the best you can do, then you should probably take it (Montero does no good on your bench). I would still try and trade Pence and play Montero at DH though.

Jesse Sakstrup

Posted at 2012-01-18 22:19:33

@Michael24:
I would rather have Montero for 5 years.

Pence is worth nothing to you unless you make a serious run at the title, so you should try to trade him.

Gardner at LF + Montero at DH is better than Pence at DH + Montero on Bench and no LF. Makes you better for 2011, plus you would get 2 extra years out of Gardner. So I would definitely try to trade Pence, maybe try a little higher than Gardner first though.

Jesse Sakstrup

Posted at 2012-01-19 16:26:09

@Michael24:
Cargo is a good target, good luck with that.