Since we are so close to spring training, this list shouldn't change much unless an injury, trade, or an expected playing time adjustment occurs. Here is my updated list of the top fantasy baseball outfielders for 2012.

1. Matt Kemp: Kemp had one of the best seasons in recent memory, compiling a .324/.399/.586 line, with 39 home runs and 40 stolen bases. His .380 hit rate was a bit lucky, but his career rate is .352, so that shouldn't fall all that far. His .262 isolated power and 76 extra base hits confirm that his power spike was somewhat for real. His HR/FB rate has also trended positively for four consecutive seasons, although his 21% from 2011 probably won't be sustained. Kemp should obviously regress some, but 30/30 should be very attainable.

2. Jacoby Ellsbury: Ellsbury emerged into an elite fantasy outfielder in 2011, hitting .321, with 32 home runs and 39 stolen bases. The power surge came out of nowhere, his previous career high in homers was 9. His 17% HR/FB rate will probably regress to somewhere between there and his career level of 10%, but his 83 extra base hits and .230 isolated power say that a lot of his power gains are for real. He could again hit over 20 home runs, and steal 40 bases, and in Boston's lineup, that makes him a top ten player. Don't expect an enormous fall off, but don't pay for 2011 either.

3. Justin Upton: Upton really started to flash some of the skills that made him the number one overall pick in the 2005 draft going 31/21 with a .289 average. He cut his K% from 27% to 19%; if he can maintain that progress then he has the potential to hit over .300. Upton also spiked his fly ball rate up to 45%, showing that if he takes just a small step forward in 2012, he could improve on his 2011 gains. He is still young and incredibly talented, don't be shocked if he ends up being fantasy's top outfielder in 2012.

4. Carlos Gonzalez: Gonzalez followed up his amazing 2010 with a very solid season in 2011, though he only managed to play 127 games. He did regress some in most luck related categories -- as expected -- but most of his skills remained stable. One positive was his BB% increase, and decrease his K%, if he can turn this into a trend, there might be marginal batting average upside. Expect 2011-type production from Cargo, but don't pay for a full season until he plays a full season.

5. Curtis Granderson: Granderson was tremendous in 2011, hitting 41 home runs, stealing 25 bases, while putting up unreal counting numbers in a powerful Yankees lineup. He made an adjustment against left handed pitching helping him to a .272 batting average against lefties in 2011. The adjustment, along with Yankee Stadium's shallow right field wall, likely accounted for most of Granderson's power surge, but a 6% increase in his HR/FB rate, also helped and probably won't repeat. Granderson should threaten to go 35/20, but his 3-year downward K% trend suggests that his batting average could suffer. Not a first rounder in shallow leagues.

6. Josh Hamilton: As always, Hamilton produced elite numbers in 2011 when healthy, finishing with a very good .298/.346/.536 line that included 25 home runs and 8 steals. The problem is that he only played in 121 games. He only played in 133 games in 2010 and 89 in 2009 as well. Hamilton's peripherals are reasonably stable so he should be very good when he plays, but don't pay for more than 130 games.

7. Andrew McCutchen: McCutchen's overall fantasy value was similar to his 2010 season, but there were some substantial changes. He increased his power output, hitting 23 home runs, but decreased his stolen base total by 10, down to 23. McCutchen also increased his K% to a career high 19%, contributing to a career low .259 batting average. His hit rate should bounce back to make him more neutral to your overall batting average, but he needs to fix a couple of things before he can emerge into the top tier of fantasy baseball outfielders. He should improve, but don't overdraft him.

8. Hunter Pence: Pence was pretty close to his typical numbers in most underlying skills. His .361 hit rate made for a career high .314 batting average, that should decrease towards his .328 career mark. He only stole 8 bases, which is a minor concern, but it was the first season where he had less than 11, so expect him to return to double digits in that category. He should also really benefit from leaving Houston, expect a boost in his counting numbers, and overall production due to the extra protection that the Phillies lineup provides. Keep your eye on Pence as a potential value on draft day.

9. Mike Stanton: Stanton took a step forward in skills in 2011, showing an impressive 12% walk rate, a substantially improved strike out rate, and an increase in his isolated power and his HR/FB rate. If he continues these trends he could have some batting average upside to add to his obvious power upside. Stanton is still very young and has a lot of room to improve and he probably has home run titles ahead of him. With a small fly ball spike could mean that Stanton hits 40 homers in 2012.

10. Matt Holliday: Holliday showed signs of decline in 2011, posting an 18% strike out rate, playing in just 124 games, and stealing only 2 bases. Holliday is no longer a rock solid, no worries outfielder. He will be 32 years old on opening day, so we have to wonder if he is done stealing bases and if his health will cause him to miss more time in 2012. He should still hit for mid-twenties power and a near .300 average, but heed of the warning signs.

11. Nelson Cruz: Cruz continued to be a very good source of power, as well as an injury risk in 2011, hitting 29 home runs in just 124 games, also adding 9 stolen bases. His peripherals are all fairly stable so expect him to threaten for a 30/10/.270 season, but pay for no more than 120 games.

12. Ryan Braun: Ryan Braun continues putting up monster numbers. Many feared that his downward trend in isolated power could be a concern in 2011, but he rebounded with a very solid .265 ISO, finishing with a monstrous .332/.397/.597 line, with 33 home runs and 33 stolen bases -- though it will be very difficult for Braun to repeat the 30 steals going forward. He has improved both his K% and BB% in four straight seasons and nothing in Braun's peripherals suggest that there is anything to worry about, and he keeps getting better. Don't expect much of a drop off once he returns from his pending 50 game suspension. Braun would top this list if his suspension is overturned.

13. Carl Crawford: Reasons for concern following an abysmal 2011 season: injury caused him to miss time; his K% soared to career high 19%, meaning batting average could be in jeopardy; he stole just 18 bases on 24 attempts, down from a 47 out of 57 season in 2010; his BB% decreased; and his minor power decrease. Reasons he can improve: .299 hit rate should rise towards his .328 career mark, returning his average to a level that should be helpful to owners; his isolated power was at his career average; he was better after a horrible April; and the Boston lineup should boost his counting stats, regardless of performance. Crawford still has upside, but his 2011 numbers were alarming, don't expect a full recovery.

14. Michael Bourn: Your opinion of Michael Bourn largely depends on how you like to build your team. Bourn is by far the best and most consistent of the "all speed" guys, stealing 61, 52, and 61 bases in each of the last two seasons. Bourn hit for a career high .294 average that was helped out by his .369 hit rate. Bourn's 27% line drive rate validates his high hit rate, but that high of a LD% is probably unsustainable. Expect a slip in batting average, but his counting stats should improve slightly hitting Atlanta's lineup for a full season. Bourn is very safe for what he provides, just make sure you have ample power elsewhere.

15. Jay Bruce: Bruce's underlying stats were very similar to his 2010 numbers, but a 3% fly ball increase and slightly better health contributed to a 7 home run increase over his 2010 mark. He looks like he should make a run at another 30 home run season, but with his near 24% strike out rate stabilized, don't expect any more than a .260 batting average. Bruce just needs to take a small step forward in 2012 to become a top ten outfielder, but don't pay for that.

16. Shane Victorino: The only real blemish on Shane Victorino's 2011 season was that he only attempted 22 steals. The good news was that he was successful on 19 of those attempts, leading me to believe that he has not lost a step, and that he could return to the high-20s in that category. Victorino also had a 4% increase in his fly ball rate, if he maintains that rate and plays a full season then he could have 20/20 upside. He is often underrated in drafts, if he falls in your draft, don't hesitate to pick him up.

17. B.J. Upton: Upton produced another good season if you could handle the batting average, hitting 23 home runs with 36 steals. He benefited from a 14% HR/FB rate, his highest since 2007, that number should regress some, making about 20 home runs his baseline projection. His 25% strike out rate means that he will remain a batting average risk. He should, once again, be a threat for 20/40, but that also comes with .240 as well.

18. Desmond Jennings: Jennings' production was outstanding in his 63 major league games in 2011. He hit just .259, but added 10 home runs and 20 stolen bases. His 21% strike out rate will cap his batting average ceiling unless he can cut that number down. His 11% walk rate, however, is a great sign that he won't be overmatched as pitchers make adjustments. Jennings will be 25, so he is already on the fringe of his prime years and is less of a risk for a sophomore slump than most rookies heading into their second full season. Jennings should be a real threat for 20/40.

19. Shin-Soo Choo: Choo had a disastrous 2011, hitting .259 with 8 home runs as he played just 85 games. He was plagued by injuries, which likely caused some of his struggles at the plate. He had a .317 hit rate, which for him, was unlucky, expect Choo's hit rate to rise up close to his .353 career number. He also had four year lows in HR/FB rate and fly ball rate, the HR/FB rate should rebound itself, but he needs to improve his fly ball rate too if he expects to be a 20/20 threat again. Don't be too scared by his 2011, Choo could be a very good value in 2012 drafts.

20. Alex Gordon: Gordon finally put it all together in 2011, hitting 23 home runs, stealing 17 bases, with a .303 batting average. Gordon still struck out over 20% of the time, and was fortunate with his .358 hit rate, so don't expect him to hit near .300 in 2012. Gordon's power looks to be legit as well, and there is no reason why he cannot make a serious run at 20/15 again, or more if his skills take another step forward.

21. Michael Morse: Michael Morse really emerged as a power hitter following his move to first base. He ended the season with a .303/.360/.550 line, including 31 home runs in his break out year. His numbers don't exactly indicate that he should regress all that much, although his .344 hit may regress as his sample of major league at bats increases. As the first base position starts to thin out, taking a chance that Morse should not be avoided.

22. Lance Berkman: Berkman showed that he can still be a very productive player when healthy. Expect a decrease in home runs, as his HR/FB rate was higher than normal and should drop some, but there is no reason why Lance cannot end up with over 25 home runs if he can stay healthy for most of the season.

23. Corey Hart: Corey Hart had another productive year in 2011, putting up a .285/.356/.510 line, including 26 home runs and 7 stolen bases. Hart was lucky to end up with 26 home runs as his fortunate 19% HR/FB made up for his 9% drop in fly ball rate. If he doesn't correct his fly ball rate then he may be closer to 20 home runs than 30. Still he is worthy of a spot among the top-25 outfielders.

24. Chris Young: Young has now went 20/20 in two consecutive years, hitting 20 home runs with 22 steals. His HR/FB rate was a low 10%, which should rebound enough to put him back in the mid-20s in homers, making him a threat to go 25/25 in 2012. Young is going to struggle to hit just .250, so make sure you can handle the average hit before you draft him.

25. Adam Jones: After two consecutive years hitting 19 home runs, Jones finally had his first 20 home run season, hitting 25 to go along with 12 steals and his peripherals look reasonable enough to expect a final line close to his 2011 totals. Jones is, however, a very talented player and is just beginning to enter the prime years of his career, don't be shocked if he improves further.

26. Brett Gardner: Gardner has turned his legs into a valuable fantasy asset stealing 47 and 49 bases over the past two seasons. A little bit hidden is the 7 home runs that he chipped in with, which is nice. If Gardner could consistently hit in the leadoff spot, his counting stats would benefit, but as long as Derek Jeter is somewhat competent, that is unlikely happen.

27. Ichiro Suzuki: Despite hitting for a career low .272 batting average, Ichiro still put up huge stolen base numbers, stealing 40 in 47 attempts. He was hurt by a .295 hit rate, nowhere near his career rate of .351. His luck should improve there, giving him a good shot to hit .300 again. Ichiro won't put up a ton of counting numbers in a poor Mariners lineup, but he should have a chance to steal 40 bags with a good average.

28. Michael Cuddyer: Cuddyer was one of the only bright spots in an awful season for the Twins and moving to Colorado will only help. His new park increases right-handed power by 17%, and will help out his average as well. His peripheral stats are fairly stable so expect him to approach 20 home runs and 10 stolen bases, with a strong batting average. The Twins lineup couldn't have been worse in 2011, so Cuddyer's counting stats will be much better in 2012 in Colorado.

29. Drew Stubbs: Almost all of Stubbs' skills regressed in 2011, with the exception of his speed -- he stole 40 bases in 50 attempts. Stubbs was plagued by a 30% strike out rate that should keep his average near or below the .250 mark. His HR/FB rate dropped over 4% and his fly ball rate fell over 7% causing him to hit 7 less home runs in 2011 than he did in 2010, despite having 98 more plate appearances. Stubbs' power is probably somewhere between what he has shown the past two years. He will be a 20/40 threat for those who can handle his average.

30. Jayson Werth: Werth had a poor 2011, hitting just .232, but did have 20 home runs and 19 steals. His HR/FB rate has decreased in each of the past three seasons, coupled that with his 5% dip in fly ball rate, and it sparks worry that if he does rebound, he may not reach 20 homers in 2012. Worth's low .286 hit rate should rise towards his .324 career mark, but he still won't help your batting average. It was more than just bad luck that doomed Werth's season, he is no guarantee to return to his pre-2011 level.

31. Jason Heyward: Spending most of his 2011 dealing with injuries, Heyward had to adjust his swing to compensate for his injured shoulder and never recovered as he compiled a .227/.319/.389 line, with a 13% and line drive rate and 22% pop-up rate, contributing to a low .260 hit rate. On a positive note, he did increase his fly ball rate by nearly 6% to 33%. Another small increase in fly ball rate could allow him to hit 25-30 home runs if he fixes his swing and stays healthy. Heyward still has enormous upside, and could be a top-10 outfielder in 2012, but he has a lot to prove before that can happen.

32. Nick Markakis: Markakis improved his home run and stolen base totals in 2011, but his overall peripherals did not improve much. His isolated power decreased for the third straight season and his fly ball rate decreased for the second straight year. These two trends should really limit his power to the mid-teens. He did produce a career low 10% strike out rate, showing that he still has .300 potential if his slightly low hit rate corrects itself. Markakis should be decent, so don't dismiss him if he falls, but don't pay for the upside that he used to have.

33. Carlos Beltran: Beltran showed that he still has something left in the tank in 2011 after playing just 81 games in 2009 and 64 games in 2010. Beltran, who is one of the best base stealers of all time, only stole 4 bases this year and is probably done producing big stolen base totals. He showed that he is still a threat to hit 20 home runs though, hitting 22, producing his highest isolated power since 2007. Busch Stadium won't help his home run output, but the lineup support should boost his counting numbers.

34. Melky Cabrera: Cabrera broke out in 2011, hitting 18 homers, with 20 steals, and a .305 average. None of these three numbers look repeatable, his .332 hit rate should correct itself, making a .270's batting average more likely. He should stay in the mid-teens in home runs, as his HR/FB rate wasn't too far out of line. He did show a significant gain in isolated power, so his break out does have some validity, so pay for just shy of 15/15, not for his 2011 line.

35. Jeff Francoeur: Many of the Kansas City Royals players produced career highs in stolen bases, and Francoeur was no exception, stealing 22 to go along with his 20 home runs. He did boost his isolated power to .191 (career .162), so his power shouldn't drop much. His speed should regress some, but anywhere between 10 and 20 is possible. With Francoeur's added speed dimension, he could be worth taking in the mid-to-late rounds of a shallow league.

36. Torii Hunter: At 36 years old, it is a worry that Hunter may start to decline sharply, but most of his hitting tools remain adequate. He has hit over 20 home runs in 6 straight seasons, and maintains a stable fly ball rate and HR/FB rate. A bit concerning is the .167 isolated power, his lowest since 2000, and his 20% strike out rate. Aside from his hitting skills, his stolen base totals have decreased in three straight seasons, and I am wondering if he will run at all in 2012. Hunter can still hit 20 HR with a decent average, but don't pay for double-digit steals anymore.

37. Coco Crisp: Crisp showed what he can do when he stays healthy for the majority of a season as he stole 49 bases, adding 8 home runs. Don't count on him staying healthy in 2012, however, he had played just 49 and 75 games in the previous two seasons. Crisp had a ridiculous 24% line drive rate (20% career), yet his hit rate was nearly 20 points lower than his career mark. If he can maintain a LD% close to that number, his hit rate should be above his career number, moving a .290 batting average into play. Don't look at his 2011 and overdraft him; expect less than 120 games.

38. Cameron Maybin: Maybin had his best year by far in 2011, playing over 100 games for the first time. He stole 40 bases in 48 attempts, which was 31 more than his previous career high. He was able to cut his strike out rate to 22%, and maintained solid peripherals across the board. He will be just 25 on opening day, so he still hasn't really reached his prime yet. He could take another step forward in 2012 and become a real asset.

39. Nick Swisher: Swisher had a slightly down year in 2011 hitting just 23 home runs (29 in his previous two seasons). A 6% decrease in fly ball rate contributed to his decrease in power, if this goes unfixed, his power is probably capped in the mid-20s. Swisher should still be a good source of power with a batting average that won't hurt too bad, and good counting numbers boosted by the Yankee lineup.

40. Angel Pagan: Pagan really struggles to stay healthy, but when he does play he is very good. He stole 37 and 32 bases over the past two seasons, adding in a potential for double-digit home runs. Pagan's low .285 hit rate (career .314) should rise, preventing him from hurting your batting average.

41. Andre Ethier: Ethier is trending sharply downward in what were supposed to be his prime years. His isolated power has dropped drastically from .237 in 2009 to .129 in 2011. His strike out rate has also risen in four straight seasons. His 9% HR/FB rate should rebound slightly, but his low 31% fly ball rate caps his power ceiling unless he fixes his swing. The one positive is Ethier's ability to hit line drives (25% in 2011), making a high hit rate possible. Ethier should bounce back to the high-teens in home runs, with upside for more, but if he doesn't fix his flaws, he will barely be ownable in shallow mixed leagues. Downside: similar year to 2011, with a .270 batting average.

42. Delmon Young: Young couldn't sustain the improvement that he made in 2010, raising his strike out rate from 13% to 17%, dropping his isolated power from .195 to .125,  also lowering his fly ball rate from 40% to 35%. There is a lot to dislike about Young's year, but with better health, he should return to near 20 home runs with a helpful batting average, with a chance for more.

43. Logan Morrison: Morrison had a big power surge in 2011, hitting 23 home runs after hitting just 2 home runs in 62 games in 2010. His low 34% fly ball rate should make a further increase in power unlikely for now. Morrison's unlucky .265 hit rate heavily contributed to his low .247 average, so expect that to correct, making his batting average more neutral. Morrison does not steal bases, so his upside is in batting average and power, don't go nuts expecting a huge year.

44. Alex Rios: Rios was really disappointing in 2011, producing a .227/.265/.348 line, with just 13 home runs and 11 stolen bases. Most of his peripherals say that he was unlucky, rather than completely terrible. A correction in his .237 hit rate is supported by his reasonable 18% line drive rate. He also cut his strike out rate by over 3% to just 12%, which also supports a batting average bump. His 7% HR/FB rate should bounce back some as well. The real concern is his lack of steals, attempting only 17 last season. He should bounce back to fantasy relevancy, with 15-20 home runs and steals, but the warning signs are there.

45. Carlos Lee: Lee's HR/FB rate has decreased in each of the past three seasons and his isolated power has stabilized at a mark well below that of his peak years. He is well into his decline as a player, and is not aided by the triple-A lineup that surrounds him. Lee's production shouldn't decrease too much in 2012, but if you are looking for upside, look elsewhere.

46. Peter Bourjos: Bourjos showed a good power/speed combo in 2011, hitting 12 home runs with 22 steals. He will be just 25 years old at the beginning of 2012, so there is still plenty of room for power growth. He has great speed, so he could easily steal 30 in 2012, with the potential for 40 if the Angels let him run wild. Bourjos has good upside, but his lack of experience makes him risky to reach on.

47. Josh Willingham: Willingham was good value in 2011, hitting 29 home runs, driving in 98. He also stayed relatively healthy with 136 games played. His strike out rate, however, really jumped from 19% to nearly 27%, making him a big batting average risk in 2012. HR/FB rate should drop some, but he should still hit in the low-20s in homers, and miss at least 30 or 40 games due to injury, don't pay for more than 125 games.

48. Matt Joyce: Joyce was good in his first chance at regular playing time, hitting 19 home runs, with 13 stolen bases. He does have 20 home run power if he corrects his 42% fly ball rate (career 45%), and could repeat most of his 2011 numbers. If he can maintain his high 21% line drive rate, then a .280 baseline batting average is also possible. Even with just somewhat regular at bats, Joyce should be able to be a contributor in all formats.

49. Lucas Duda: Duda put together a very nice year, putting up a .292/.370/.482 line, with 10 home runs in 100 games. His 9.4% walk rate and 16% strike out rate were not bad, showing that he was not overmatched at all. Duda's average should drop some as his hit rate suggests, but he can produce the other numbers easily and could be a very solid 4th or 5th outfielder in shallow leagues.

50. Ben Revere: Ben Revere had a nice showing in 2011, stealing 34 bases in 117 games, creeping his way into shallow mixed league territory for 2012. Revere is all speed and no power whatsoever. If he maintains his low 9% strikeout rate, his batting average downside should be limited. Draft for potential to steal 50 bases with a batting average that shouldn't hurt.

51. Brennan Boesch: Boesch consolidated a very surprising 2010 season, even making some marginal gains in 2011. He increased his isolated power, decreased his strike out rate, boosted his line drive rate, and was on pace for a very good year before he got hurt. Expect Boesch to hit somewhere close to 20 home runs with 5-10 steals and a neutral batting average, you could do worse this late in a draft.

52. Jason Kubel: Kubel should give you a good chance for 20+ home runs, with a decent batting average (think .270), and no speed to speak of. His strike out rate, however, has increased in four straight seasons, indicating that his batting average is becoming a bit more risky. He only played in 99 games in 2011, but had played in over 140 for the previous three, so don't be scared off too much by his health. Moving to Arizona where RH power is increased by 14% could give him a bit of home run upside, provided he maintains everyday at bats.

53. Jose Tabata: Tabata only compiled 382 plate appearances in 2011, hitting 4 home runs and stealing 16 bases. He looks set to hit atop the Pirates lineup in 2012 where he should provide plenty of runs and if he can stay healthy enough to get 600 plate appearances, he will likely reach the mid-20s in steals. His power isn't substantial, but his average should be solid. Tabata is a good source of speed who may be undervalued in 2012 drafts.

54. Austin Jackson: An uptick in strikeout rate and a hit rate correction dropped Jackson's average below the .250 mark in 2011. He will continue to hurt your average unless he can significantly reduce his 27% strikeout rate. It would be optimistic to expect him to build upon the 10 home runs that he hit in 2011, but he should have no problem reaching 20 steals, and has the upside for much more.

55. Alejandro De Aza: De Aza tore it up in a small 171 PA sample in 2011 to the tune of a .329/.400/.520 line. While the bottom should fall out on his .404 hit rate, and his 20% strikeout rate isn't great, he is a good enough hitter to hit for a decent average. At the current state of the White Sox lineup, De Aza looks to be a favorite to hit leadoff in 2012. He has the potential for double-digits in homers, and speed that should easily carry him to 20 steals -- with upside for more -- provided he keeps his job the whole year. He makes for a good end-game flier in shallow leagues and is a viable option in deeper leagues. Risk is there, but upside is there too; don't be afraid of De Aza if he begins to fall.

56. Vernon Wells: Wells was somewhat unlucky in 2011, but also hurt himself by spiking his strike out rate, and plummeting his walk rate. Wells' .214 hit rate was unlucky, but somewhat validated by his low 12% line drive rate. His average should rise, but he should still be a batting average risk. His power numbers (isolated power, HR/FB rate) were in line with his career numbers, but his 48% fly ball rate (41% career) indicates that he may still have 30 home run power if he stays healthy.

57. Colby Rasmus: Rasmus didn't really do a lot in 2011, only managing a .225/.298/.391 line, with 14 home runs and just 5 steals. He declined in almost all significant statistics; the only stat he improved was his strikeout rate, lowering it to a manageable 22%. Rasmus' skills point to a player who won't hit 20 home runs, and may not reach double-digit steals, with a .250 average, but he is young and talented, so a step forward is possible. Rasmus is just an end game flier at this point in shallow leagues.

58. Carlos Quentin: Quentin just can't stay healthy, playing just 118 games in 2011, with 131 being his career high. He has become an extreme fly ball hitter, increasing his fly ball rate in five straight seasons (54% in 2011). This is causing his line drive rate to fall, giving him more home runs, but preventing his batting average from ever helping fantasy owners. Moving to San Diego puts his power in a much worse situation, as Chicago increased RH power by 38%, and PETCO decreases it by 5%. Don't expect huge profit here and don't pay for much more than 120 games.

59. Denard Span: Span only played in 70 games in 2011, hitting 2 home runs, stealing 6 bases, with a .264 average. His hit rate should bounce back some, and he is just one year removed from a 26 stolen base season, so there is definitely upside in the SB department. Span seems like a candidate to be overlooked in drafts, so don't forget about him once he begins to slide.

60. J.D. Martinez: While he won't run any, J.D. Martinez should hit in the middle of the Astros lineup where he could hit 15-20 home runs, with a chance for a pretty good batting average. His upside is limited by the talent surrounding him in the Astros lineup and his lack of speed, but Martinez should be worth a look in all but the shallowest of leagues.

61. Brandon Belt: Belt struggled to gain traction in 2011. Getting demoted to the minors and dealing with injuries played a role, but Belt's 27% strike out rate also contributed to his struggles, leading to a .225 batting average. Belt's K% should improve as he gets more used to major league pitching, and his .273 hit rate should rise a bit too, so we should expect a better average. Belt has the potential to hit 20 home runs with a handful of steals in 2012, but his batting average risk should keep him near the end of shallow drafts.

62. Alfonso Soriano: While Soriano is no longer a reliable source of speed, and he has struggled to stay on the field for the past five years, he has still never had less than 500 PAs in any year. His isolated power remains very good, his strikeout rate is stable, and though his average is no longer an asset, Soriano looks ready to make another bid for 25 home runs.

63. Jason Bay: Bay's fly ball rate of 40% was his lowest of his career, as was his .128 isolated power, which, if sustained will act as a cap on his power upside, even though the fences at Citi Field are moved in -- though this will help. He is still a good bet for double-digit homers and steals, so don't be to discouraged here, just don't pay for a big power revival.

64. Will Venable: Venable finds it difficult to stay healthy for a full season, but is capable of approaching 10/30 in just 400 PAs. His significant improvement in strikeout rate from 29% to 22% shows batting average upside and if he could stay healthy for a full season, he could make for a very good value. Don't pay for more than 500 PAs, but if you are late in a shallower draft, Venable offers considerable upside that many owners may overlook.

65. Dexter Fowler: People consistently expect more SB output than what Fowler produces, but he has just 52 steals in 80 career attempts, so don't expect a huge increase unless he refines his base stealing skills. His 23% strikeout rate will serve to depress his average, but a .166 isolated power -- which is well above league average -- suggests that he may have some power upside (just 5 HR in 563 PAs in 2011). Don't reach too far here, but Fowler has the tools and skills to finally breakout in 2012.

66. Seth Smith: Smith was kind of decent in every category, producing a .284/.347/.483 line with 15 home runs and 10 stolen bases. He should be solid across the board, but his move to Oakland which decreases LH power by 11% will certainly cap his power upside.

67. Michael Brantley: With a small step forward we could be looking at a 10/20/.280 hitter, but Brantley is likely looking at the number nine spot in the order to begin the season. If Grady Sizemore gets hurt -- which, unfortunately is a likelihood -- Brantley could move up to the leadoff spot, where his value would obviously receive a boost. There is some upside here, but don't get carried away.

68. Alex Presley: Should start in left field for the Pirates and might hit near the top of the batting lineup where his counting stats would get a nice bump. If Presley could lock down regular at bats for the whole year, he is quite capable of a 10/25/.270-type season which would make him a borderline top-35 OF. His lack of experience in the majors makes him risky, but there is definite upside here.

69. Marlon Byrd: Byrd missed time in 2011 due to a facial fracture, but should return to everyday at bats in 2012 where he'll offer low double-digit power, and a good batting average. Byrd is often undervalued, and missing time in 2011 could suppress his ADP even further.

70. Lorenzo Cain: Cain should start in center field for the Royals in 2012. He has 10/20 potential right now, and has the hitting skills to maintain a decent average as well.

71. Aubrey Huff: Huff's low home run total in 2011 was supported by his very low isolated power, so don't expect a return to his 26 home run year in 2010. Look for his hit rate to increase and look for a bit more power, but don't get too excited here.

72. Luke Scott: After missing much of the 2011 season due to a shoulder injury, Luke Scott could easily be a good value in 2012. The move to Tampa Bay, however, will cost him power as Tropicana Field drops LH power by 11%, whereas Camden Yards increased LH power by 18%. Scott should still make a strong run at 20+ HR in a DH role that should net him close to 500 PAs.

73. Yonder Alonso: PETCO park decreases left-handed power by 41% so Alonso's power upside will be severely capped. His lineup support should be weak as well, so don't reach too far on Yonder.

74. Raul Ibanez: Ibanez's value is dependent on where he lands this offseason. He is unlikely to be more than a platoon outfielder or a DH in the AL, but he still has power and his .268 hit rate should revert to the .300 level that he is know for, so don't forget about Ibanez if your league-mates do.

75. Garrett Jones: Jones has stable peripherals; he'll offer near 20 home runs, with a few steals, but the batting average should hurt a bit.

76. John Mayberry: In just 296 PAs in 2011, Mayberry had 15 home runs, 8 stolen bases, and a .273 average. He is unlikely to maintain that level of production, but his strikeout rate of 19% is well under control and his .240 isolated power hints that his power is somewhat legitimate. The Phillies have said that they will give him every opportunity go play everyday in 2012, and if he does, he has big-time upside that many of your league-mates may not recognize. Mayberry makes for a very good sleeper target in deeper leagues.

77. Allen Craig: Craig will enter 2012 on the DL, but once he is healthy, he could provide major upside. If provided regular at bats, he has 25 HR power, and the ability to hit for a high average. He played most of his time in the outfield in 2011, but did get 6 games at second base, and with the current black hole that the Cardinals have at second, Craig could potentially get some time there -- obviously second base eligibility would be tremendous value for Craig owners. The injury gives him risk, but the upside justifies a stash in deeper leagues.

78. Mike Carp: Carp has good power, but he will need to improve his 43% ground ball rate to fully display it. His .343 hit rate will be hard to sustain, and if he repeats his 26% strikeout rate, his average could become a risk. Don't forget about Carp if your league mates let him fall though.

79. Jason Bourgeois: Bourgeois was on an 80 SB pace (in 650 PAs) in 2011, but injuries and playing time issues prevented him from further displaying his incredible speed. While he seems like a good fit anywhere in Houston's outfield, his 2012 playing time is still in question. He won't offer any power, but his fantasy upside would resemble a Michael Bourn line. If we could expect everyday at bats, Bourgeois would move way up 2012 draft boards.

80. Bobby Abreu: There just aren't enough at bats to go around in Los Angeles, which will put Bobby Abreu on the bench if he isn't traded. His 2011 ISO was the lowest of his career, so power may be dwindling, but still has 20-steal speed. If he is traded, which seems sensible, a potential 10/20 season is well within reach.

81. Franklin Gutierrez: Gutierrez missed much of the 2011 season with an oblique injury. In the time he did play, he produced an embarrassing .224/.261/.273 line, with 1 HR. His .050 isolated power is very concerning, but he should be able to bounce back enough to approach 10 homers. A low .266 hit rate should rebound as well, bringing his average closer to the .250 area, and he is still a threat for 20+ stolen bases. His elite defense will keep him in the lineup everyday; don't dismiss Gutierrez on draft day.

82. Nyjer Morgan: Good speed, and a good average are to be expected from Morgan who could hit leadoff and play in center everyday for the Brewers in 2012.

83. David Murphy: Has accumulated at least 440 PAs in each of the past four seasons with the Rangers and that is about what we should expect for 2012. He is a good bet for 10/10 with a good batting average, but his isolated power has trended downward in four straight years, so his HR upside may be limited.

84. Rajai Davis: Davis managed just 95 games in 2011, but he did steal 34 bases in that span. His hit rate should rise, helping his .238 average rise, but his increased strike out rate (14% to nearly 19%) should keep his average from helping you. He offers little power, but his speed is tremendous. Davis looks to be the 4th outfielder in Toronto as we head into spring, so the opportunity to display his skills may be limited.

85. David DeJesus: Wrigley field increases LH power by 19%, a big increase from hitting in Oakland where LH power is decreased by 11%, so we could see a bit of a power increase from DeJesus. His .274 hit rate should also rebound, giving him a good shot at a neutral batting average. DeJesus lacks real upside, but could be a value on draft day if owners aren't looking closely at his numbers.

86. Dayan Viciedo: Viciedo has little major league experience, but his isolated power of around .200 in the minors hints at his power potential. He has a good chance to play everyday in the White Sox outfield in 2012 where he could easily hit 20 home runs, with upside for more in Chicago's homer friendly park. Don't blind yourself with his power upside; he has no speed and probably won't help your batting average much.

87. Nolan Reimold: Reimold should compete for the third starting outfield spot in Baltimore. He had a very good .206 isolated power in 2011 and would easily have 20/10 upside with regular at bats. Potential for profit here, monitor his situation as the season approaches.

88. Jon Jay: Could play everyday in centerfield for the Cardinals in 2012 where he could approach double-digits steals and homers, with a good batting average.

89. Andres Torres: Torres' home run total dropped way off in 2011, as his isolated power dropped over 100 points. His power should bounce back some and a 10/20 line is possible, but his sub-.250 baseline average drags his value down.

90. Mitch Moreland: Moreland will get at bats at first base in Texas, but Mike Napoli should cut into that playing time when he plays first on his days off from catching. Moreland can approach 20 HR, with a decent average, but his upside is somewhat limited.

91. Eric Thames: Thames could hit in the 2 hole for the Jays in 2012, where his counting stats would really thrive. Pay attention to his situation as spring training progresses, he has 20 HR upside with regular at bats and could provide good value on draft day.

92. Hideki Matsui: We will know a lot more once Matsui signs with a team, but until that happens, don't pay for anything more than mid-teens power, with a .260ish batting average.

93. Cody Ross: Ross' .279 hit rate should bounce back into the .300 area, so his .240 batting average shouldn't be repeated. He is still a threat for mid-teens power, with upside for more if he could maintain his fly ball spike (to 48%), but he should be in a platoon situation in Boston, however, so don't pay for 600 PAs.

94. Ryan Ludwick: Cincinnati improves RH power by 33%, so Ludwick may have some power upside in 2012. He is expected to split time in left field with Chris Heisey, but should garner the majority of the at bats.

95. Josh Reddick: Reddick could hit in the middle of a weak Oakland lineup, where he is capable of hitting mid-teens in homers, but if his minor league track record is any indication, he could be a batting average risk.

96. Chris Heisey: Heisey has very good power, highlighted by his 18 HR in just 308 PAs in 2011. Unfortunately he looks to be on the short end of a left field time-share with Ryan Ludwick in 2012.

97. Juan Rivera: Rivera's isolated power has decreased in two straight years, making 15 home runs a question. His strikeout rate has trended downward in two straight years; if that trend continues, he could become a batting average risk...but unless the Dodgers decide to give Jerry Sands full time at bats Rivera should see regular playing time in 2012.

98. Yoenis Cespedes: No matter where Cespedes signs, he will almost surely spend some time in the minors to get some ABs under his belt. Once he is called up, he has very good power, and good speed, and the potential to hit for a decent average. An adjustment period is possible though, so don't pay for his ceiling.

99. Bryce Harper: Harper's long-term value is as high as anybody's, but could struggle to begin his major league career; he is still only 19 and posted an ordinary .256/.329/.395 line at double-A -- the highest level he played at -- in 2011. Upside is enormous here, but risk shouldn't be overlooked.

100. Kosuke Fukudome: Fukudome is still unsigned and may end up going back to Japan, but should he stay, a 10/5/.260-type line seems reasonable, although a career low .108 isolated power from 2011 suggests potential HR downside.

101. Leonys Martin: Playing time a big factor here, but with the health record of Cruz and Hamilton, Martin could get a chance to play at some point in 2012. He has very good speed, a bit of power, and the hitting tools that could lead to a solid batting average, and could earn more regular at bats with his good defense in center field. Though he is unlikely to fulfill his potential immediately, he is the type of player who could someday post a 15/30/.280 line, so there is plenty of profit potential here.

102. Andy Dirks: Double-digit HR and SB potential here in semi-regular Abs.

103. Jordan Schafer: Has 30+ steal potential, but lacks power and strikes out at a rate that should lead to a very poor batting average.

104. Jerry Sands: Didn't display much of the skills for the Dodgers that he showed in the minors in 2011. Has power upside, but playing time will be an issue to monitor.

105. Grady Sizemore: Sizemore is terribly risky health-wise, and hasn't stolen a base since 2010. Power still in-line with his career average, but huge spike in K% limits batting average upside. At 29, Sizemore still has appeal, but don't buy expecting 400+ PAs.

106. Carlos Gomez: Despite his very good glove, Gomez is unlikely to earn an everyday role in Milwaukee. His average will never help, but an 8% fly ball spike to 44% and a .177 isolated power in 2011 shows some power upside to go along with very good speed. With regular at bats he could hit 10-15 home runs, with 30+ stolen bases, and with a pending 50 game suspension for Ryan Braun, maybe he gets that opportunity.

107. Mike Trout: There is nobody with as high of upside as Trout this late in the draft. Trout has the tools to someday be a 25/45/.310 type of player, but he is barely 20 years old. He put together a monster .326/.414/.544 line in 91 double-A games in 2011, but struggled some in 40 major league games. His 22% strike out rate would cap his short term batting average should that continue, although his .247 hit rate should correct making his batting average tolerable either way. With the crowded Angels outfield, Trout will likely spend much of the year in the minors. He is an instant add in all formats once he is called up, but his value will be limited unless the Angels make room for him.

108. Gerardo Parra: With the acquisition of Jason Kubel in Arizona, Parra's playing time should take a serious hit and he will likely struggle to make any serious contributions in any fantasy category aside from batting average.

109. Roger Bernadina: A bit of power and good speed, but batting average and playing time are concerns. There would be upside with regular playing time, but don't pay extra for that.

110. Magglio Ordonez: His .275 hit rate was a career low despite a 25% line drive rate, meaning his .255 average should rebound in 2012, but his .076 isolated power was the lowest of his career, so his power upside should be limited. Pass on Ordonez if you are looking for upside.

111. Endy Chavez: Will offer speed and a decent average from what looks like a 4th outfielder role in Baltimore.

112. Domonic Brown: Brown's lack of major league success could mean he begins 2012 in the minors as the Phillies have hinted. There are things to like here though, Brown's 12% walk rate and 17% strikeout rate in 2011 were both well above average, and his .147 isolated power was about league average too, and his .276 hit rate should also rise, giving him a better shot at a neutral average. The skills are in place for a breakout year, and 15/15 could be well within reach, but his expected playing time situation will keep his draft price low. There is profit potential here, so Brown makes for a good roster stash in deep leagues.

113. Laynce Nix: Nix has good power, but a 23% strikeout rate will keep his average from ever helping you. He figures to be in a platoon situation at best, so don't draft him expecting huge returns.

114. Nate Schierholtz: Doesn't have major HR or SB upside, but his average should be in the .270 area, pretty solid this late in a draft.

115. Casper Wells: Needs to improve on his 30% strikeout rate from 2011, or he will continue to drain your batting average. Good power though, capable of double-digit homers in a 4th outfielder role.

116. Chris Denorfia: Average won't hurt and he could approach double-digit steals with a bit of pop in limited playing time.

117. Jonny Gomes: Low .259 hit rate should rebound, but his average will still hurt. He still has good power, but will be the 4th or 5th option in Oakland's outfield.

118. Ryan Sweeney: Sweeney has compiled back-to-back one HR, one SB seasons, but I think he has upside for more. Should platoon with Cody Ross in Boston where his only value for fantasy will be in his run/RBI totals.

119. Corey Patterson:

120. Shelley Duncan: Capable of hitting double-digit home runs in a part-time role.

121. Chris Coghlan

122. Collin Cowgill: Likely the 4th outfielder in Oakland, but has some pop and good speed if he could earn everyday at bats.

123. Brent Lillibridge: In just 216 PAs in 2011, Lillibridge hit 13 home runs and stole 10 bases and had an outstanding .247 isolated power. The sample was rather small and his 21% HR/FB rate is unsustainable, so his power will regress, but it does hint at some upside. His 29% strikeout rate will result in a bad batting average, but there is real 20/20 upside here if he found himself in an everyday role.

124. Tyler Colvin: A .175 hit rate led to a .150 average in 2011 for Colvin. While his luck should correct, he is going to put your average at risk regardless. As a 4th outfielder in Colorado, his playing time will be volatile, but he does have 20+ home run power that he displayed as recently as 2010.

125. Juan Pierre: The only thing to talk about with Pierre is his stolen bases, he stole 68 in 2010, but swiped just 27 in 2011. His playing time will come as a 4th outfielder and with his speed in serious question, the upside isn't all that tremendous.

126. Andruw Jones: Expect under 300 PAs, but still capable of 10 HR.

127. Travis Snider: Snider has little chance to earn a starting role anytime early in the 2012 season. He is known for his power potential, but displayed more speed than power in 2011, and if he cannot lower his strikeout rate -- consistently in the high 20s -- then he will continue to put your batting average at risk. Snider makes for a decent stash in a very deep league, but don't reach on him before the reserve rounds.

128. Nate McLouth: McLouth's isolated power has regressed significantly in three straight years, giving real concerns about his power going forward. Traditionally low hit rates will keep his average low and his speed has declined in three straight years as well. Not much hope that he returns to his pre-2010 level.

129. Brett Jackson: Went 20/20 last year at double/triple-A, showing his power/speed potential, but a 30% strikeout rate at triple-A highlights his batting average downside. Jackson looks like he could be a four-category contributor if given a chance to play, but make sure you can take a hit in the batting average department.

130. Charlie Blackmon: A bit of power, solid speed, but probably the 5th outfield option in Colorado.

131. Tony Gwynn: Can offer good speed in limited at bats.

132. Norichika Aoki: Aoki has had a successful career in Japan, but only managed a .292/.358/.360 line last year, with just 4 homers and 8 steals. He is unlikely produce even that level of performance in his first season in America, so don't expect any sort of breakout from Aoki.

133. Rick Ankiel: Stole a surprising 10 bases to go along with 9 home runs in 2011 in just 415 plate appearances. His average will always hurt, but the power is legit if he can find playing time.

134. Ryan Kalish

135. Brian Bogusevic: Has speed and a bit of power, but will need a starting role to be relevant.

136. Trayvon Robinson: Robinson had always struck out a lot in the minors, but his 39% strikeout rate with the Mariners in 2011 poses an enormous problem. He has power upside, but should find it difficult to accumulate at bats, and if he does, he could single-handedly ruin your average.

137. Kyle Blanks

All rankings are based on standard mixed 5x5 rotisserie leagues (R, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, K, W, SV, ERA, WHIP).

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